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• Module overview
• 1. Introduction to supply chain management
  • Introduction
  • 1.1 What is supply chain management?
    • 1.1.1 Supply chain management: The concept
    • 1.1.2 Supply chain management: Evolution
    • 1.1.3 Supply chain management: The search for a definition
    • 1.1.4 Supply chain management: The drivers:
  • 1.2 Technology and supply chain management
  • 1.3 Supply chain management: New business models and challenges
    • 1.3.1 New supply chain business models
    • 1.3.2 Challenges
  • 1.4 Key issues in supply chain management

• 2. Supply chain management and information systems

  • 2.1 Introduction
  • 2.2 Goals of supply chain IT systems
  • 2.3 Supply chain IT goals: Challenges and means
    • 2.3.1 Standardisation
    • 2.3.2 Infrastructure
    • 2.3.3 Electronic commerce
    • 2.3.4 Supply chain management issues and IT
  • 2.4 Integrating the supply chain information systems
  • 2.5 Decision support systems
    • 2.5.1 The characteristics of decision support systems
    • 2.5.2 DSS components
    • 2.5.3 DSS in supply chain management
  • 2.6 Summary

• 3. Logistic network configuration

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 The supply chain network
    • 3.2.1 Network design decisions
    • 3.2.2 Design consideration
  • 3.3 Logistics and facility costs in logistics network configuration
  • 3.4 Logistics network design and decision support systems
    • 3.4.1 The supply chain model
    • 3.4.2 Data and a network model
    • 3.4.3 Model and data validation
    • 3.4.4 Solution techniques
  • 3.5 Key features of a network configuration DSS

• 4. Inventory management and risk pooling

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Inventory: Basic concepts
    • 4.2.1 Why hold inventory: Inventory functionality
    • 4.2.2 Inventory related definitions
    • 4.2.3 Inventory related issues
  • 4.3 The inventory policy
    • 4.3.1 Basic inventory decisions and EOQ
    • 4.3.2 Inventory policy under conditions of uncertainty
  • 4.4 Risk pooling
    • 4.4.1 The Square Root Law of Inventory
    • 4.4.2 Centralised versus the decentralised system
    • 4.4.3 Supply chain inventory
    • 4.4.4 Inventory management: Practical issues
  • 4.5 Summary

• 5. Supply chain integration: The value of information

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Information and supply chain integration
    • 5.2.1 The bullwhip effect
    • 5.2.2 The reasons for bullwhip effect
    • 5.2.3 Quantifying the bullwhip effect
    • 5.2.4 Measuring bullwhip effect: The practical issues
    • 5.2.5 Bullwhip effect: Managerial insight
    • 5.2.6 Reducing bullwhip effects
  • 5.3 Effective forecasts and supply chain integration
  • 5.4 Collaborative supply chains and information integration
  • 5.5 Supply chain systems and information integration
  • 5.6 Information and the synchronised supply chain
  • 5.7 Summary

• 6. Supply chain integration: Distribution strategies

  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 Transportation and distribution
    • 6.2.1 Transport modes
    • 6.2.2 Inbound transportation
    • 6.2.3 Distribution
  • 6.3 Centralised versus decentralised control
  • 6.4 Distribution strategies
    • 6.4.1 Direct shipment
    • 6.4.2 Cross docking
    • 6.4.3 Warehousing and distribution strategies
    • 6.4.4 Transhipment
  • 6.5 Central versus local facilities
  • 6.6 Push versus pull systems
    • 6.6.1 Push systems
    • 6.6.2 Pull systems
  • 6.7 Summary

• 7. Supply chain simulation games:

  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 The Beer Game
    • 7.2.1 The purpose
    • 7.2.2 The Beer Game scenario
    • 7.2.3 Features and options
  • 7.3 Playing the Beer Game
    • 7.3.1 Beer Game projects
    • 7.3.2 The Beer Game: The learning tool
  • 7.4 The Risk Pooling Game
    • 7.4.1 Playing the Risk Pooling Game
    • 7.4.2 Risk pooling project
  • 7.5 Summary

• 8. Supply chain integration: Strategic partnering

  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 Strategic partnering
    • 8.2.1 Strategic partnering: A framework
  • 8.3 Supply chain partnership models
    • 8.3.1 Manufacturer and supplier partnership
    • 8.3.2 Strategic partnering with logistics service providers
    • 8.3.3 RSP or retailer supplier partnership
    • 4.3.4 Distributor integration
  • 8.4 Summary

• 9. International issues in supply chain management

  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 Globalisation and SCM issues
    • 9.2.1 Global business forces
  • 9.3 International supp ly chain - risks and advantages
    • 9.3.1 Risks in international supply chain
    • 9.3.2 Risk management strategies
    • 9.3.3 Risk management framework
  • 9.4 Issues in intern ational supply chain management
  • 9.5 Logistics infrastructure: Regional issues
  • 9.6 Summary

• 10. Product design and supply chains

  • 10.1 Introduction
    • 10.1.1 Matching the supply chain to the product
  • 10.2 Design for logistics
    • 10.2.1 Packaging
    • 10.2.2 Manufacturing: Concurrent and parallel processing
    • 10.2.3 Postponement or delayed differentiation
  • 10.3 Mass customisation and supply chains
  • 10.4 Supply chain is sues and the push-pull boundary
  • 10.5 Summary

• 11. Supply chain management and customer value

  • 11.1 Introduction
    • 11.1.1 The concept of value
    • 11.1.2 Customer service and value
  • 11.2 Supply chain management and customer value
    • 11.2.1 Tailored logistics
    • 11.2.2 Customer value dimensions
  • 11.3 Customer value measures
    • 11.3.1 Customer based measures
    • 11.3.2 Supply chain performance measures
  • 11.4 Information technology and customer value
  • 11.5 Summary

5.2.1 The bullwhip effect

We know that a supply chain is made up many firms and each is unique in the way it is configured. However, all chains end up with customers or consumers at the downstream end. The business purpose of all firms in the supply chain is to serve these end customers. In a conventional supply chain, the downstream entity acts as the interface between the supply chain and the customers.

To keep this analysis simple, let us consider a simple supply chain with a manufacturer, a distributor and a retailer at the downstream end. We know that the retailer will keep an inventory to serve its customers and will initiate a replenishment order according to the inventory policy when the time is right. The distributor receives the orders from the retailer and initiates its own replenishment order to the manufacturer when its stock reaches a certain reorder point.

Figure 5.1 The sequential structure of a 'traditional' supply chain generating the bullwhip effect (demand amplification) in the clothing sector
(Source: Mason Jones & Towill 2000, from a description in Stalk & Hout 1990)

This practice of order processing by firms at each level in the supply chain gives rise to a phenomenon by which demand information gets distorted as it travels upstream and this is known as the bullwhip effect. The direct result of this effect is wrong perception about the state of real demand, and uncertainty. This results in excess inventory at different levels in the supply chain. The indirect effects are costs, waste and poor customer service.

Forrester (1960) carried out the earliest research into the bullwhip effect and identified its presence in multi echelon manufacturing firms. A more recent study was carried out by Burbidge (1989), who offered an explanation of the phenomenon by calling it the 'Law of Industrial Dynamics'. He stated that:

If demand for products is transmitted along a series of inventories using stock control ordering, then the demand variation will increase with each transfer.

According to Lee et al (1997), the term 'bullwhip' was first used by Proctor and Gamble (P&G) when they experienced extensive demand amplifications for their diaper product 'Pampers'. The following reading is a leading article in this field and should give you good grasp of the concept of the bullwhip effect and its causes.

Reading 5.1

Lee, HL; Padmanabhan, V & Whang, S (1997, spring) 'The bullwhip effect in supply chains', Sloan Management Review , pp.93-102.

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