5.2.4 Measuring bullwhip effect: The practical issues
The above explanation, when read in conjunction with your text should provide a good theoretical base on the effects of information transparency across the supply chain. However, practical measurement of the bullwhip effect is not easy. Wouters and Fransoo (1999) carried out the most recent work in the Netherlands and noted the following difficulties in practical measurement of the effect:
- In many supply chains demand data is not available at the level of detail necessary for a good analysis. Instead, data are sometimes incomplete or only available at a highly aggregated product or time level.
- As supply chains are complex, data co-relation is often difficult. A wholesaler may give an order to its supplier based on several retailers' orders. It will be impossible to disaggregate the wholesaler's order to study the relationship with respect to orders made by one retailer.
- The measurement of total bullwhip effect should provide insight into the specific causes of the bullwhip effect. Specifying which part of the total bullwhip effect can be attributed to a specific cause can be problematic because of:
- unclear ordering policies where rules regarding order batching are unclear
- unavailability of real demand data which requires separating out the effects of price fluctuations and of shortage gaming from sales figures. Such real data are often not available.
- unavailability of real demand data when shortage occurs and price changes as sales at that time do not represent real demand.
The following reading will provide you with an account of practical measurement of bullwhip effect or demand amplification as it is referred to in this case.
Reading 5.2
Taylor, DH (1999) 'Measurement and analysis of demand amplification across the supply chain', The International Journal of Logistics Management , vol. 10, no. 2, pp.55-70.