1.5.2 Contingency plans and risk
The very existence of the plan forces organisations to identify and examine risk. This suggests the first benefit of contingency planning is to anticipate what can go wrong. Managers have to decide if the worst-case scenario is only going to cause disruption, or is it so severe all actions need to be taken to prevent its occurrence or to at least make everyone aware of the consequential actions required?
For natural disasters that can be anticipated or even statistically forecasted, most organisations use broad emergency or disaster management plans. However, maintenance of core operational integrity and adherence to planned outcomes necessitates process wide, cross-operational or cross-team planning. In such cases contingency planning can assist in identifying critical large-scale or organisational-wide vulnerabilities. In such cases the organisation can then plan to remove those factors under its control that increase the risk of failure.
For teams or frontline managers contingency planning is more localised. It involves examining current tactical or operational plans and using problem solving or decision tools (Eg. Network analysis, decision trees, etc.) to identify how current operations could be impacted by critical failure. For instance, how does the sales team respond to an immediate and catastrophic reduction in sales due to a recall of a major product? How, for instance, does the team respond to a failure of the main server and the lack of access to the files required for normal business operations? It is the responsibility of each team and frontline manager to define the potential risks and put in place the potential solutions necessary to continue operations. This is the second major benefit of contingency planning, the ability to put in place a response to an anticipated failure or problem, before it occurs.
Some contingencies cannot be managed or anticipated. In such cases managers and their teams have to respond quickly. This is the third major benefit from contingency planning, the manager and team with experience completing contingency planning can, when an unanticipated problem occurs, draw on that experience to immediately plan a course of collective action.